Lorient vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 2
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 2
LOR
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
PSG
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
GEN
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
EBT
4 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 4
AJA
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 0
GAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |