Lorient vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 1
LYO
27%
25%
49%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
REI
1 - 3
LOR
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 0
MPL
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 2
LOR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
LIL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 2
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |