Lorient vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
LOR
2 - 0
REN
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
REN
1 - 2
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
AUX
2 - 2
LOR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MON
1 - 0
LOR
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
AUX
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 1
SOC
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
LYO
0 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2002 |
NAN
1 - 3
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |