Lorient vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 1
SOC
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
LOR
2 - 4
LIL
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
DOU
1 - 3
LOR
6%
15%
80%
|
76 | 19 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
3 - 2
LOR
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
LOR
5 - 4
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
PSG
0 - 0
AUX
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
SAI
0 - 0
AUX
7%
18%
75%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 0
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
STL
0 - 3
AUX
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
SOC
1 - 2
AUX
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |