Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis

Lorient Ajaccio
77 ELO 69
-4% Tilt 9.6%
234º General ELO ranking 1371º
14º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Lorient
24.5%
Draw
16.2%
Ajaccio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Lorient
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.2%
Win probability
Ajaccio
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorient
+6%
+4%
Ajaccio

Points and table prediction

Lorient
Their league position
Ajaccio
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
11º
10º
26
13º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
85
85
100%
Lens
84
84
100%
Olympique Marseille
73
73
100%
Stade Rennais
68
68
100%
Lille
67
67
100%
Monaco
65
65
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
62
62
100%
Clermont
59
59
100%
Nice
58
58
100%
Lorient
10º
55
55
10º
100%
Stade de Reims
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Montpellier
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Toulouse
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Stade Brestois
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Strasbourg
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Nantes
16º
36
36
16º
100%
Auxerre
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Ajaccio
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Troyes
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Angers SCO
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lorient
Ajaccio
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Lorient
Ajaccio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
NAN
Nantes
1 - 0
Lorient
LOR
45%
26%
30%
77 80 3 0
09 Feb. 2023
LOR
Lorient
1 - 1
Lens
LEN
25%
25%
50%
77 85 8 0
05 Feb. 2023
LOR
Lorient
0 - 0
Angers SCO
ANG
58%
24%
18%
77 70 7 0
01 Feb. 2023
REI
Stade de Reims
4 - 2
Lorient
LOR
46%
26%
28%
78 82 4 -1
27 Jan. 2023
LOR
Lorient
2 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
19%
23%
58%
77 87 10 +1

Matches

Ajaccio
Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2023
NIC
Nice
3 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
70%
20%
10%
70 84 14 0
05 Feb. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 2
Nantes
NAN
25%
28%
47%
71 80 9 -1
01 Feb. 2023
ANG
Angers SCO
1 - 2
Ajaccio
AJA
49%
27%
24%
70 70 0 +1
29 Jan. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
9%
17%
74%
71 87 16 -1
21 Jan. 2023
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
70%
18%
12%
72 80 8 -1