Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 1
GAZ
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SOC
1 - 0
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
LOR
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 0
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
SOC
0 - 0
AJA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
BEZ
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 2
AJA
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
ORL
1 - 3
AJA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |