Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
6 - 1
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
LYO
21%
25%
55%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 1
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
ASS
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 2
AJA
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |