Lorient U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
7º
4º
20
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
STA
2 - 3
LOR
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
3 - 4
LOR
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 4
AVR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
4 - 4
LOR
43%
22%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 1
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 2
STA
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 3
ANG
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AVR
2 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
GUI
20%
23%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
SAM
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |