Lorient U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
1º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 1
LOR
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
7 - 1
VER
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 1
LOR
37%
22%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 2
LOR
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
ANG
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 0
SAM
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
STA
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
REN
4 - 2
SAM
71%
15%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUI
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |