Lorient U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
1º
33
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 0
TRE
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
LAV
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VER
2 - 3
LOR
20%
20%
61%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
AVR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 2
GUI
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +4 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
REN
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
GUI
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |