Lorient U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
1º
33
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
LOR
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAM
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 1
LOR
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
7 - 1
VER
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 1
LOR
37%
22%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 2
ANG
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 2
GUI
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 2
STA
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
GUI
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 0
CON
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |