Lorient U19 vs Bergerac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+461%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
7º
4º
13
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LAV
5 - 2
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRS
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
LOR
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 4
SCB
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
LOR
24%
21%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ANG
23%
22%
56%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
TOU
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LAV
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |