Lorient U19 vs Avranches U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
1º
35
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
BOR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 4
ANG
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
7 - 0
LOR
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 2
STA
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
ANG
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
AVR
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
REN
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 3
AVR
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |