Lorient II vs Vierzon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
12º
23
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
81.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 3
BER
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 0
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 1
LOR
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
5 - 4
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vierzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIE
0 - 0
SAU
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 0
VIE
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 6
VIE
11%
16%
73%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIE
1 - 2
ROM
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
VIE
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |