Lorient II vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
LOR
22%
24%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 0
STA
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 4
LOR
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 0
LAN
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
LOR
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
2 - 2
LAV
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
3 - 0
USS
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 1
SAB
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
1 - 0
STA
52%
22%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
SAB
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |