Lorient II vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
12º
1º
32
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 1
LOR
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
2 - 1
USF
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 3
LOR
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 0
ERG
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
3 - 2
SAI
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PON
3 - 2
SAI
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LAN
0 - 0
PON
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PON
2 - 1
STA
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SPM
3 - 2
PON
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PON
2 - 1
CES
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |