Lorient II vs Pacy Vallée-d.Eure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LOR
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 3
CAR
27%
27%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LEH
4 - 0
LOR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 2
LEM
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pacy Vallée-d.Eure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAU
1 - 0
PAC
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 0
PAC
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PAC
0 - 3
LEH
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 2
PAC
31%
27%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |