Lorient II vs GOAL FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
12º
51
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
81.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
LOR
19%
26%
56%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
SAU
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 1
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
ROM
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 5
LOR
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MOA
3 - 0
NAN
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 0
MOA
29%
27%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MOA
3 - 2
ANG
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
MOA
28%
28%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOA
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |