Lorient II vs Mondeville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
USS
1 - 3
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
BRE
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ECO
0 - 2
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ALE
2 - 2
LOR
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
3 - 0
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Mondeville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
ALE
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 3
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
SAI
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LAV
2 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |