Lorient II vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VCH
3 - 1
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
PLA
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
LOR
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 1
LOR
51%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAC
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEH
1 - 3
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
LEM
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |