Lorient II vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VCH
1 - 2
LOR
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
MOU
30%
26%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 1
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 4
LPS
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 0
LOR
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FON
0 - 2
CHE
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FON
1 - 2
VCH
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MOU
4 - 2
FON
52%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FON
0 - 0
AVR
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LPS
1 - 2
FON
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |