Lorient II vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
12º
1º
29
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 3
LOR
9%
18%
73%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 0
LAN
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STA
0 - 2
LOR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LOR
3 - 1
SPM
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FLE
0 - 2
AFV
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FLE
4 - 1
SAI
61%
20%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 1
FLE
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FLE
3 - 0
LAN
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +4 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
FLE
69%
16%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |