Lorient II vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
12º
1º
31
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
3 - 2
SAI
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 1
LOR
11%
20%
70%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
LOR
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 1
LAN
32%
22%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
STA
5 - 1
ERG
81%
12%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ERG
3 - 4
SPM
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
ERG
77%
14%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 1
CES
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |