Lorient II vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 0
GUI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAI
0 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 1
LAV
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
ALE
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 0
CHA
46%
25%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CHA
4 - 3
LAV
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |