Lorient II vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BLO
1 - 4
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LOR
2 - 1
STP
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 1
LOR
26%
28%
46%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAI
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VER
0 - 0
LOR
45%
28%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 0
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BLO
2 - 1
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 1
GRA
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STP
2 - 0
CAE
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 0
VAN
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |