Lorient II vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
12º
50
1º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
81.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 0
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 1
LOR
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
5 - 4
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
MOA
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 1
BER
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BER
0 - 0
NIO
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BER
0 - 0
CHA
68%
21%
10%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 2
BER
25%
27%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |