Lorient II vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LOR
3 - 0
LOC
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
LOR
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LPS
1 - 1
LOR
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 1
VOL
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
QUC
3 - 2
LOR
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
AVR
0 - 2
DIJ
24%
24%
53%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
AVR
0 - 0
LPS
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
VOL
0 - 1
AVR
28%
24%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AVR
0 - 1
QUC
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |