UD Loreto vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Loreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LCF
1 - 0
LOR
22%
21%
56%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
OLI
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 3
LOR
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
ESP
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASJ
1 - 1
LOR
22%
22%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
BEN
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AND
3 - 1
CAL
51%
23%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
UDV
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 5
MAR
46%
24%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PAB
1 - 2
CAL
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |