Lorentzweiler vs Wincrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ORA
4 - 0
LOR
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 3
BOE
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 0
LOR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
ATE
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
YBD
0 - 1
LOR
14%
19%
68%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 4
MLI
27%
23%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MAM
4 - 1
WIN
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FEU
2 - 3
WIN
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 3
ORA
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BOE
1 - 2
WIN
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |