Lorentzweiler vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
64%
18%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 2
YBD
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HOS
2 - 0
LOR
19%
20%
62%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FEU
0 - 4
LOR
7%
12%
81%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 4
ERP
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
ERP
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FFN
3 - 1
MER
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MER
3 - 4
KEH
29%
24%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 4
MER
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MER
1 - 2
ATE
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |