Lorentzweiler vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 3
LOR
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
7 - 3
ORA
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
KEH
1 - 0
LOR
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 4
RAC
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAS
57%
20%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RES
0 - 2
MER
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
ERP
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
MER
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
ALI
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 2
MER
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |