Lorentzweiler vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ATE
4 - 2
LOR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LOR
4 - 2
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JEU
3 - 1
LOR
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 1
ATE
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WIN
2 - 5
LOR
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
KEH
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FEU
1 - 1
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
ORA
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MER
3 - 4
ORA
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
MER
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |