Lorentzweiler vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LOR
3 - 1
BER
64%
19%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 3
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LOR
3 - 1
HOS
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
LOR
4 - 1
FEU
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
FFN
1 - 2
LOR
34%
23%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
KAE
49%
23%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
39%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
BWM
3 - 2
MAR
14%
18%
68%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
JEU
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |