Lorentzweiler vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 3
LOR
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
BOE
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
ATE
25%
21%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
ORA
1 - 4
LOR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BER
3 - 1
MAR
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
MLI
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MER
0 - 3
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
FEU
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
PRE
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |