Lorentzweiler vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MER
1 - 4
LOR
33%
22%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
LOR
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LOR
7 - 4
FCA
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 2
LOR
28%
21%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 0
KEH
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 0
ALI
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
58%
20%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
JEU
1 - 3
BAS
27%
23%
49%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |