Lorentzweiler vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ELL
3 - 2
LOR
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 2
KEH
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
JEU
2 - 0
LOR
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 3
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
JGI
4 - 0
LOR
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ORA
3 - 4
BAS
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
5 - 2
BBM
40%
24%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
YBD
6 - 0
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
WIN
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
MAM
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |