Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Lorca Deportiva vs UDA Gramanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 1
CUA
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 16 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 2
LOR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
LOR
16%
23%
62%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
PIN
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 0
CCS
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
UDA Gramanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 3
ONT
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 2
LOR
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VIJ
2 - 2
GRA
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RCD
2 - 2
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |