Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Lorca Deportiva vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 3
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 1
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 0
PPJ
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
MAR
31%
30%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ECI
0 - 1
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |