Lorca Deportiva vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MAZ
2 - 1
LOR
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BAZ
3 - 1
LOR
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 2
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 1
LOR
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
TAL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
GRA
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 4
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
TAL
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
MAR
52%
28%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
ALG
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |