Lorca Deportiva vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
CDT
2 - 3
LOR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 2
CIU
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
LOR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
XER
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
EIB
58%
25%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 3
SPO
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 0
LLE
58%
24%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 2
CDT
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CIU
1 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |