Lorca Deportiva vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
16%
24%
61%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
LOR
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOR
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCS
21%
24%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CPE
2 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 4
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
YEC
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |