Lorca Deportiva vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 5
LOR
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 2
AGU
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
ULP
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
IMP
2 - 1
LOR
21%
28%
51%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AGD
0 - 2
LOR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 2
IMP
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
2 - 3
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 2
LOR
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VEC
0 - 2
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 1
ATB
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |