Lorca Deportiva vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
MAL
4 - 0
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
ELC
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PON
2 - 1
LOR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SLA
2 - 1
LOR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAD
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
RMC
1 - 3
VAD
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
XER
3 - 1
RMC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
RMC
4 - 1
POL
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CIU
0 - 0
RMC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 3
UDL
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |