Lorca Deportiva vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 1
LOR
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
REC
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 0
LOR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
LOR
3 - 0
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 1
LOR
54%
25%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 0
EIB
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 0
RMC
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 1
SPO
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 1
CIU
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |