Lorca Deportiva vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CDL
3 - 0
LOR
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
LOR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
LOR
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 4
CAS
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
RJA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 1
CER
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 1
RJA
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 1
EXT
58%
24%
17%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 3
RJA
36%
29%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |