Lorca Deportiva vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 3
ATM
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ECI
0 - 3
LOR
34%
30%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 1
LOR
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
DBN
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
TAL
2 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
36%
32%
33%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDZ
52%
27%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 3
RJA
42%
30%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDB
32%
30%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |