Lorca Deportiva vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
3 - 0
ALB
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ALA
3 - 1
LOR
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CAS
2 - 1
LOR
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 2
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
2 - 0
NUM
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 0
XER
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
POL
0 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 1
CIU
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 1
NUM
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |