Lorca Deportiva vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
LOR
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
RMC
1 - 2
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
REC
2 - 1
LOR
67%
22%
12%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 2
EIB
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VAD
3 - 1
NUM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
XER
3 - 2
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CDT
2 - 1
NUM
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |