Lorca Deportiva vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 0
LOR
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 0
YEC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
CEM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
RCD
2 - 2
LOR
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 2
MLL
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAB
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
LLE
2 - 1
NOV
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
3 - 0
VIJ
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |