Lorca Deportiva vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 1
LOR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
5 - 2
MAL
9%
22%
69%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
LOR
22%
28%
50%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 1
MUR
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
JER
0 - 0
ALG
32%
31%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 2
JER
35%
31%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
JER
1 - 1
CDZ
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
JER
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
CDB
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |